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A super guide for Super Tuesday

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Monique Faulkner
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« on: February 05, 2008, 01:14:14 am »

A super guide for Super Tuesday

Story Highlights
Over 22 states and American Samoa hold contests on February 5

California, New York and New Jersey could be make-or-break states

Mitt Romney and John McCain release seven-figure TV ad buys in competitive states

Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton battle it out in California and New York

Next Article in Politics


 Read  VIDEO INTERACTIVE
     
ATLANTA, Georgia (CNN) -- Voters in 24 states go to the polls on Tuesday, also known as Super Tuesday, and the outcome could whittle down the nominees for both parties.





Repubicans and Democrats are campaigning for votes in the mega Super Tuesday contests.

 Delegate-rich states such as California, New York and New Jersey could be make-or-break contests for both Republicans and Democrats.

Click here for CNN's guide to all Super Tuesday states.

Sen. John McCain of Arizona, fresh off crucial wins in the South Carolina and Florida primaries and important endorsements from the Los Angeles Times, former GOP presidential candidate Steve Forbes and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani, will go head-to-head with the competitive candidate and former governor of Massachusetts, Mitt Romney.

Romney, who has the campaign war chest to compete well beyond Super Tuesday, will be a formidable force against the Arizona senator in several delegate-rich states.  Watch CNN's John King's take on Romney's Plan C

The ad wars between McCain and Romney are also heating up. Both candidates are reportedly spending seven-figure amounts in several Super Tuesday states.  Watch the candidates' air wars

California is a crucial win state for either party's candidates. At stake for Republicans: 170 delegates -- a figure that makes up 14.3 percent of delegate votes needed to win the nomination. For Democrats, the winner will take home 370 delegates.

McCain, who received an endorsement from California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, could truly benefit. In the Florida primary, exit polls showed that Gov. Charlie Crist's endorsement helped McCain win the contest.

Other GOP candidates in the race -- Mike Huckabee and Texas Rep. Ron Paul -- face an uphill challenge money-wise and momentum-wise.

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Huckabee's evangelical support could, however, help him in Southern and Midwestern states such as Georgia, Missouri, Arkansas, Oklahoma and Kansas.

The Democratic race, meanwhile, remains extremely tight going into Super Tuesday.

Fresh off Thursday's calm and cordial Democratic debate at the Kodak Theatre in Los Angeles, California, Sens. Hillary Clinton of New York and Barack Obama of Illinois appear to be headed for a decisive match -- though both candidates say they will campaign far beyond the February 5 contests.

Obama won the season-opening Iowa caucuses, then finished second to Clinton in every contest until last week's South Carolina primary -- which he won with a commanding 55 percent of the vote in a three-way race.

On Friday, the Illinois senator received the endorsement of the Los Angeles Times, one of the largest newspapers in the country.

Clinton scored victories in the New Hampshire primary and Nevada caucuses.

She also was the top vote-getter in Florida and Michigan, although no Democrats campaigned in those states and their delegates to the nominating convention will not count because of a squabble between state and national party leaders over the timing of the primaries.

And John Edwards' support to either candidate could send Clinton or Obama over the edge, delegate wise.

A win for either party's nominees in Super Tuesday states like California and New York -- two states with uber expensive media markets -- will require significant cash.

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Monique Faulkner
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« Reply #1 on: February 05, 2008, 01:14:53 am »

CNN has compiled important information you need to know about each of the contests on February 5.

Alabama

Alaska

American Samoa

Arizona

Arkansas

California

Colorado

Connecticut

Delaware

Georgia

Idaho

Illinois

Kansas

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Missouri

Montana

New Jersey

New Mexico

New York

North Dakota

Oklahoma

Tennessee

Utah

West Virginia

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Monique Faulkner
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« Reply #2 on: February 05, 2008, 01:18:07 am »

Alabama

Alabama has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976, when Jimmy Carter beat Gerald Ford by 13 points.

George W. Bush carried Alabama in a landslide in 2004, beating John Kerry by over 25 points.

Alabama's large African-American minority is the Democratic Party's base. Democrats gain much of their institutional strength from the state's well-organized teachers' union and trial lawyers.

White evangelical Protestants and affluent young white families in the suburbs make up the base of the Alabama GOP. Much of the party's institutional support comes from the state's business owners.

Alaska

Alaska is a safe Republican state. It has voted for a Democratic presidential candidate only once since gaining statehood in 1959.

Since becoming a state, Alaska has never held a presidential primary, choosing rather to hold caucuses.

The most Democratic regions in Alaska include the state's southeast panhandle, which includes Juneau, and the vast area in the North and West, sparsely populated by Native Americans and Aleuts.

The area around Anchorage and Fairbanks tends to go Republican.

American Samoa

While American Samoa participates in the Democratic and Republican nomination processes, it does not participate in the general election.

Arizona

In Arizona, Latinos are an important -- and growing -- voting bloc. In the 2004 Democratic primary, they constituted 17 percent of the entire electorate. In the 2004 general election, they made up 12 percent of the electorate and favored Sen. John Kerry over Bush.

Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, is home to over 60 percent of Arizona's registered voters. Largely white collar and home to a sizeable high-tech economy, the county usually tilts Republican, though Democratic votes can be found in the university community of Tempe and Phoenix's Latino community.

Pima County in the southern part of the state often goes Democratic because nearly 25 percent of the population there is Latino.

Sparsely populated areas in the northern part of the state, meanwhile, have increasingly leaned Republican recently.

A slight plurality -- 51 percent -- of Arizona's Democratic primary electorate in 2004 was composed of self-described moderates or conservatives

Even though McCain handily won his home state's primary in 2000, he defeated Bush by only 7 points (51 percent to 44 percent) among the 62 percent of GOP primary voters who described themselves as conservatives. Bush beat McCain by 16 points (54 percent to 38 percent) among the 24 percent of primary voters who called themselves "very conservative."

Arkansas

While Arkansas can be a Republican-friendly state, Democrats like Sens. Mark Pryor and Blanche Lincoln, as well as current Gov. Mike Beebe, have found success in recent years.

The state tends to vote Republican in presidential elections, except in cases when a Southern Democrat, such as Bill Clinton, appears on the ticket. President Bush carried the state in 2004 by almost 10 percent.

Huckabee was only the third Republican to serve as governor of Arkansas since Reconstruction.

Arkansas is the smallest state between the Mississippi River and the Pacific Ocean. In terms of population, it's the smallest state in the South.

California

The last time California played a critical role in the primary season was in 1972, when George McGovern's 5-point victory over Hubert Humphrey helped solidify the senator's hold on the Democratic nod.

The last time California was critically important on the GOP side was in 1964, when Barry Goldwater squeezed out a narrow victory over Nelson Rockefeller. Goldwater went on to win the Republican nomination.

John Kerry won every county in the 2004 primary. Bill Clinton, former Vice President Al Gore and John Kerry all carried California by solid margins.

While California has a reputation for being heavily Democratic, mainly due to large metropolitan areas such as Los Angeles and San Francisco, the state also has a long history of supporting Republicans, especially for governor. Ronald Reagan became president after he was governor of the state, and Schwarzenegger currently holds the title.

California's economy is larger than all but four nations, having surpassed France in 2002.

With so many electoral votes at stake, pundits say the state is crucial to picking either party's nominee for president.

Colorado

Colorado tends to vote Republican in presidential elections. The GOP presidential candidate has carried Colorado in 12 of the last 14 presidential races dating back to 1952. The only exceptions came in 1964 and 1992, when the state supported Lyndon Johnson and Bill Clinton, respectively.

Denver, Adams and Boulder counties in central Colorado are the most Democratic areas of the state. The eastern and western borders are heavily Republican.

Democrats believe the rising political strength of the Latino community will make the state more competitive.

Self-identified members of the religious right made up roughly one-quarter -- 26 percent -- of the Republican primary electorate in 2004. Self-identified conservatives made up 63 percent of the Republican primary electorate in 2004.

In late August, Democrats will flock to Denver for the Democratic National Convention.

Connecticut

Connecticut has recently become a Democratic stronghold in presidential politics. The Democratic presidential nominee has carried the state by double-digit margins in each of the last three elections.

The most Democratic areas of the state include areas around Hartford, New Haven and Bridgeport. The GOP-favored areas are the eastern and western coastal regions. Connecticut Republicans, however, tend to be very moderate by GOP standards.

Connecticut has the highest per-capita income in the nation as of 2007.

A majority of voters in the 2000 GOP primary were either self-described moderates or liberals. John McCain won the state's primary by beating Bush among both of these groups of voters.

One of Bill Clinton's few defeats came during the 1992 primary, where he was narrowly beaten by Jerry Brown, 37 percent to 36 percent.

Delaware

For half a century, Delaware was considered one of the best bellwether states in presidential politics. From 1952 to 2000, it picked the winner of the popular vote in every presidential election. The streak was broken in 2004, when the state voted for Kerry by a margin of almost 8 percent.

Delaware only has three counties -- Kent, New Castle and Sussex. New Castle County includes heavily Democratic Wilmington and a number of more GOP-leaning suburbs.

Georgia

Georgia has voted Republican in five of the last six presidential elections.

The last Democrat to carry Georgia in a presidential election was Bill Clinton in 1992. Georgia was the only Southern state to support Jimmy Carter in his 1980 White House bid against Reagan.

African-Americans made up 47 percent of Georgia's 2004 Democratic primary electorate.

From 1990 to 2004, Georgia's population grew by 36 percent. This was the sixth-highest rate of population growth in the United States, and the highest rate for any state east of Colorado. The 2000 Census recorded Georgia as the tenth-largest state -- the first time it has been in the top 10 since the Census of 1850.

Georgia has more African-Americans than any other state except Texas and New York, and could soon surpass them -- something that could be favorable to Obama, who garnered high numbers of African-American voters in his South Carolina primary win.

Atlanta and its inner suburbs are the most solidly Democratic regions of the state. Historically, Democrats have also run well in the central part of the state. On the flip side, Atlanta's ring of outer suburbs is the most heavily Republican part of the state.

Idaho

Idaho holds its Democratic caucuses on February 5.

It is one of the most reliable Republican states in the nation. In 2004, Bush defeated Kerry in the state by 38 points -- Bush's third-highest margin of victory in any state.

Lyndon Johnson was the last Democrat to carry Idaho in a presidential election, beating Barry Goldwater by less than 2 percent in 1964.

Illinois

Obama's home state of Illinois has increasingly become a Democratic stronghold in presidential politics. Democrats have fared better in Illinois than nationwide in every election since 1980.

Historically, the so-called "Collar Counties" of the Chicago suburbs -- five in all -- make up one of the most fiercely contest battlegrounds in the state.

Republicans traditionally did well here, especially in the more affluent areas, but as the GOP shifted rightward in the 1980s on social issues such as gun control and abortion, Democratic support began to rise.

Downstate, communities such as Peoria, Rockford and Springfield are also targeted because of their sizable working-class, swing constituencies.

Kansas

Kansas, meanwhile, holds Democratic caucuses. The state is traditionally a Republican stronghold.

Despite its rural image, Kansas' population increasingly lives in a metropolitan area. A slight majority of Kansas residents now live in five counties, which include Kansas City, Lawrence, Topeka and Wichita.

Between 2000 and 2004, the state's population declined in 78 of the other 100 counties.

Hispanics are a growing political voting bloc. A large number of Latinos now work in meatpacking factory towns, and Hispanics accounted for nearly half of Kansas' population growth in the 1990s.

The most Democratic area is in Kansas City, as well as the state capital, Topeka. The Republican base is in the suburbs of Kansas City and the state's rural western counties.

Massachusetts

Massachusetts is a major Democratic stronghold. No Republican has carried the state in a presidential election since Reagan narrowly defeated Walter Mondale in 1984.

Romney served only one term in Massachusetts. In this 2008 primary race, Romney's home newspaper, The Boston Globe, endorsed McCain.

Massachusetts Republicans tend to favor perceived moderates in presidential primaries -- such as Nelson Rockefeller, Gerald Ford and George H.W. Bush.

In terms of an overall share of the vote, Massachusetts was McCain's best state in the 2000 primaries, beating Bush by 33 points.

Minnesota

Minnesota, long seen as a bastion of liberalism, has become much more of a battleground recently. The state's often unpredictable voting patterns propelled several liberal state candidates.

Minnesota has also become much more closely contested in presidential campaigns, tilting narrowly Democratic in 2000 and 2004.

No Republican since Richard Nixon in 1972 has carried the state in a presidential general election. This is the longest Democratic streak of any state in the nation, not counting Washington D.C.

Minnesota Democrats generally run strong in Minneapolis-St. Paul, as well as in the state's northern counties. Republicans tend to do well in the western suburbs of Minneapolis-St. Paul, as well as around Rochester and western areas of the state.

Missouri

Missouri is one of the nation's most reliable bellwethers in presidential politics. For the last century --1904 to 2004 -- it has voted for the winning presidential candidate in every election but one: going for Adlai Stevenson over Dwight Eisenhower in 1956.

The state's Democratic base is around urban areas such as St. Louis and Kansas City. Republicans tend to rely on strong support from the more rural central portion of the state, including Springfield and Jefferson City, the state capital.

Strong union support is an important factor for Democrats. Almost four in 10 voters in the 2004 Democratic primary came from a household where someone belonged to a union.

Sixty percent of voters in the 2004 Democratic primary were self-described moderates or conservatives.

Almost a quarter of all voters in the 2000 GOP primary were self-described members of the religious right; 56 percent were self-described conservatives.

Montana

Montana holds Republican caucuses on Super Tuesday.

For many years, Montana was one of the most Democratic states in the Rocky Mountain West, electing only Democratic senators from 1952 to 1988. The last Democratic presidential candidate to carry the state was Bill Clinton in 1992.

The last time Montana played a role in a serious Republican nomination fight was 1976, when Reagan challenged President Gerald Ford.

Democrats benefit from strong unions in the state.

Geographically, the Democratic base is around the mining cities of Butte and Anaconda, Missoula, Great Falls, and the state capital, Helena. Billings, along with the rural east and west, tends to go Republican.

New Jersey

Through the 1980s, New Jersey was generally considered one of the more Republican-leaning larger states. George H.W. Bush carried the the state by 14 points in 1988. But by the mid-1990s, the New Jersey voters had become increasingly disenchanted with the more socially conservative agenda of the GOP's Southern leadership.

The state has now voted Democratic in four straight presidential elections.

New Jersey is an expensive state to contest politically, because its two largest media markets -- New York and Philadelphia -- are among the nation's largest and most expensive and are outside the state.

In the past, the state's late primary -- held in June -- didn't help New Jersey play a significant role in the primaries. But this year, the state moved up its primaries to Super Tuesday and will more than likely be a competitive state for both parties.

New Mexico

New Mexico will hold its Democratic primary on Super Tuesday.

The state has historically been a presidential bellwether, siding with the winner of the popular vote for president all but once since becoming a state in 1912. In 1976, it voted for Ford over Carter.

New Mexico is also considered a swing state by both parties.

Currently, Democrats have a strong base in the north, from Latinos and newcomers in Santa Fe and Taos. Albuquerque has been politically marginal as its migrants have been culturally conservative but economically liberal. Southeast New Mexico is strongly conservative and Republican. The southwest part of the state, however, is more Latino and marginally Democratic.

New Mexico has the highest proportion of Latinos in the United States -- something that could bode well for Hillary Clinton, who garnered a large swath of Latino voters in the Florida primary and Nevada caucuses.

New York

In New York, Hillary Clinton's home state, almost half of voters identify themselves as Democrats, illustrating that it's generally more receptive to Democrats than Republicans, though large pockets in Upstate are heavily Republican.

New York is a Democratic stronghold in presidential politics; GOP candidates have carried the state only three times in the last 12 elections (1972, 1980 and 1984).

Almost half of all voters -- 49 percent -- in the 2000 New York Republican primary were either self-described moderates or liberals; 51 percent were self-described conservatives.

Over half of all voters -- 52 percent -- in the 2000 Republican primary believed that abortion should be legal in all or most cases.

Thirty-six percent of New York City's residents in the 2000 Census were born in other countries, and the state has a large African-American and Latino population.

When Clinton was re-elected to the Senate in 2006, she won 83 percent of the vote in New York City, 62 percent in the suburbs and 60 percent in Upstate areas. She carried 58 of New York's 62 counties, though faced a relatively unknown Republican opponent.

North Dakota

North Dakota may have two Democratic senators and a Democratic member of the House, but it's generally a strong Republican area. North Dakota has voted for a Democratic presidential candidate only once in the past 60 years, supporting Johnson in 1964.

North Dakota also has the lowest growth of any state since 1950.

The state is also notable in that it's the only state with no voter registration. Anyone who says he or she has lived in the state for more than 30 days can vote, but any other voter can challenge someone's residency.

Democrats do especially well in the eastern part of the state, especially around urban areas of Fargo and Grand Forks. These cities have the state's largest share of white-collar and affluent residents, and trend more Democratic than the state as a whole.

Oklahoma

Oklahoma was once a competitive bastion for Democrats, but in recent decades, it has increasingly trended Republican.

On a presidential level, the state is now almost always an easy GOP win. It has voted Democratic only once in the last 14 presidential elections --1964.

Former Gen. Wesley Clark won the state in the 2004 Democratic nomination contest.

Sixty-nine percent of voters in Oklahoma's 2004 Democratic primary were self-described moderates or liberals. Four out of every 10 voters in the state's 2000 GOP primary, meanwhile, were self-described members of the religious right; 69 percent were self-described conservatives; and 26 percent were moderates.

The GOP tends to run strong in Oklahoma City and Tulsa. Democrats do better in eastern Oklahoma, the poorest part of the state and home to a large Native American and modest African-American population.

Tennessee

Even during the heyday of the old Democratic South, eastern Tennessee leaned Republican. It continues that trend, though Democrats can rely upon small pockets of grassroots strength from African-American voters in Knoxville and Chattanooga.

Traditionally Democratic western Tennessee is now the fastest-growing part of the state, but he region's economic expansion has bolstered an increasing GOP edge.

The state's Democratic base is in the urban centers of Memphis and Nashville. The suburbs of these two cities are increasingly Republican.

Tennessee has become a Republican stronghold in presidential elections. Bush owned the state by over 14 points in 2004, and the GOP has now carried Tennessee in five of the last seven contests.

If Gore had won his home state in 2000, he would have won the White House. Instead, he lost to Bush by almost 4 points.

African-Americans made up 23 percent of the state's 2004 Democratic primary electorate. Over half of Tennessee's 2004 Democratic primary electorate was made up of self-described moderates or conservatives. Liberals accounted for 38 percent.

Roughly one out of every three voters in Tennessee's GOP presidential primary was a self-described member of the religious right.

Utah

Farther west, Utah is one of the most Republican states in the nation. The state has not supported a Democratic presidential candidate in the general election since 1964.

In six of the last eight presidential elections, the Republican presidential nominee received a higher share of the vote in Utah than in any other state.

About three-fourths of Utah's voters are Mormons, and roughly seven out of 10 Mormons vote Republican -- a factor that will undoubtedly help Romney, a member of the Mormon Church.

West Virginia

West Virginia will hold its Republican state party convention on Super Tuesday.

For over half a century, West Virginia has been one of the country's Democratic states. Before 2000, the state had abandoned its position of Democratic presidential standard-bearer only three times: in the GOP landslide years of 1956, 1972 and 1984.

Republicans, at least on the presidential level, have appealed to the socially conservative state based on a combination of hot-button issues such as abortion and gun control.


In a state that still depends, at least in part, on the coal industry, Republicans have also tapped into voters' concerns over the role of the environment in the national Democratic Party.

The state's union movement remains a relatively strong force, in large part due to West Virginia's coal-mining heritage. E-mail to a friend

CNN's Robert Yoon and Alan Silverleib contributed to this report.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/02/supertuesday.guide/index.html?iref=mpstoryview
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Monique Faulkner
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« Reply #3 on: February 05, 2008, 01:20:59 am »

Democrats in dead heat going into Super Tuesday

Story Highlights
NEW: Sen. Hillary Clinton says economic stimulus package won't be enough to help

NEW: Sen. Barack Obama says he is best candidate to beat Sen. John McCain

A new poll shows Obama and Clinton in a statistical tie nationally

Voters in 22 states go to polls Tuesday, with 40-plus percent of delegates at stake


     
(CNN) -- With a new poll showing their race in a virtual dead heat nationally, the Democratic presidential candidates are making their final pitches Monday to voters before Super Tuesday.



Sen. Barack Obama is joined by Caroline Kennedy Monday during a rally in East Rutherford, New Jersey.


 
Sen. Hillary Clinton attends a roundtable discussion in New Haven, Connecticut, Monday.

 1 of 2  Sens. Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama made campaign swings in the Northeast as nearly two dozen states get ready to hold contests in what will virtually be a national primary.

At a roundtable discussion in New Haven, Connecticut, Clinton returned to two issues she repeatedly has touched on, health care and the economic concerns of the middle class.

"Most Americans are in-between people," she said. "You know, the middle class is under tremendous pressure. It is everything. The cost of everything is going up. And even if you make what used to be considered good wages, they don't cover the increase in costs, in everything from energy to health care."  Watch Clinton stump for votes

During the roundtable discussion at Yale University, Clinton became teary-eyed -- a moment that harkened back to her much talked-about display of emotion on the eve of the New Hampshire primary -- when she was introduced by Penn Rhodeen, a public interest lawyer who worked with Clinton when she was in college.  Watch Clinton get personal

Obama on Monday emphasized his ability to attract independents and Republicans in an appearance in East Rutherford, New Jersey, home of the new Super Bowl champions, the New York Giants.

Obama was introduced by actor Robert De Niro and joined on stage by Sen. Edward Kennedy. Kennedy is a Massachusetts Democrat and a fan of the New England Patriots, the team the Giants beat Sunday night.

"I have said repeatedly that this campaign is about bringing people together. And for me to be able to bring a Patriots fan to the Meadowlands the day after the Super Bowl is like bringing the lion and the lamb together," Obama said. "We can bridge all gaps and all divisions in this country."


Super Tuesday
Live from the CNN Election Center, the best political team covers every race 40 hours nonstop.
Tuesday, beginning 6 a.m. ET

see full schedule
The senator from Illinois also said he would be the best candidate to beat Sen. John McCain of Arizona, the emerging front-runner in the GOP presidential race, because of his early opposition to the Iraq war.

Obama has criticized Clinton for voting for the 2002 resolution that authorized President Bush to use force against Iraq to enforce U.N. sanctions.

"When I'm debating John McCain, he won't be able to say, 'Well, you supported the war, too' because I didn't," Obama said.

As the candidates made a last-minute push, a CNN/Opinion Research Corp. poll out Monday showed Obama erasing Clinton's lead among Democrats nationally. The two are in a virtual tie, with Obama at 49 percent and Clinton at 46 percent, the poll found.  View poll results

With a sampling error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, that margin is too close to say which Democrat is leading.

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The survey represents a dramatic turnaround in the race from a few months ago, when Clinton had a significant edge over Obama.

In a January 14-17 CNN/Opinion Research poll, Clinton led Obama 42 percent to 33 percent. That poll also had a margin of error of plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.

A national "poll of polls" calculated by CNN that averages five national polls finds Clinton ahead of Obama by two percentage points -- 45 percent to 43 percent. Those five surveys were done by CNN/Opinion Research, Gallup, Pew, ABC and CBS.

These findings come a day before 22 states and American Samoa hold Democratic primaries or caucuses, including large states such as California, New York and Illinois. Voters will determine how more than 40 percent of the national convention delegates, 1,681, will be allocated. That figure is fewer than 400 shy of the 2,025 needed to clinch the nomination.  Watch how the delegates will be assigned

"It's huge because there's never been this many delegates at stake, and it's coast to coast," said Time magazine's Mark Halperin. "You've got a contest in Alaska. You've got a contest in Georgia. The candidates can't even go to every state that's voting, let alone spend the kind of quality time they'd like to."  View what is at stake on Super Tuesday

Former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, national co-chair of Obama's campaign, said Monday his candidate would benefit from an extended primary fight and is ready to compete in the primaries after Tuesday.

"The longer this goes, we think the better it serves our campaign," Daschle said. "We can't wait for the primaries of Maryland, Virginia [and Washington, D.C]. We look forward to the primary in Texas as well as in Ohio."

Obama has not only caught up to Clinton in national surveys but also in California, the most populous state.

A Field Research Corp. poll released Sunday shows Clinton with a statistically insignificant lead of two percentage points over Obama, 36 percent to 34 percent, in the state. Eighteen percent of California Democrats have yet to make up their minds, the survey found.

Most polls two weeks ago showed Clinton with a double-digit lead there. The latest poll's margin of error is 4.5 percentage points.  Watch how California could sway the race

Obama's California campaign received a boost Sunday when the state's first lady, Maria Shriver, endorsed the Illinois Democrat. Shriver's husband, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger, is backing McCain in the GOP race.

Shriver's uncle, Sen. Kennedy, and Caroline Kennedy, President Kennedy's daughter, both made highly publicized endorsements of Obama last week.  Watch Obama invoke JFK on the stump

"Coming out of his overwhelming victory in South Carolina and followed quickly by his Kennedy family endorsements, Obama clearly has the momentum in this campaign," said Bill Schneider, CNN's senior political analyst.

With voters going to the polls across the country Tuesday, the Democratic candidates are pouring millions into television advertising.

The Campaign Media Analysis Group estimates $20 million will go toward TV advertising in Super Tuesday states, with Democrats spending 90 percent.

As part of its advertising blitz, the Obama campaign ran a commercial during Sunday night's Super Bowl emphasizing a message of change.

Later Monday, Clinton headed to Worcester, Massachusetts. In her home state of New York, she'll participate in a town hall sponsored by the Hallmark Channel and also is expected to appear Monday evening on the "Late Show With David Letterman."


Obama is attending a rally in Hartford, Connecticut, before ending with another in Boston, Massachusetts.

The candidates' spouses will be in the West. Former President Clinton will hold three events in California, while Michelle Obama will attend a rally Monday night in Tucson, Arizona. E-mail to a friend

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/04/dems.super.tuesday/index.html?iref=topnews
« Last Edit: February 05, 2008, 01:22:09 am by Monique Faulkner » Report Spam   Logged
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« Reply #4 on: February 05, 2008, 01:10:16 pm »

Large turnout expected for Super Tuesday voting

Story Highlights
California registration rolls up by 700,000 voters

Voters wait in dark outside one Georgia polling station

Weather could be factor in turnout in some states


     
(CNN) -- Increased voter registration and some long lines early Tuesday pointed to a big turnout of voters for presidential primary contests across the country.



Voters line up at a voting precinct Tuesday in Boston, Massachusetts.

 California Secretary of State Debra Bowen, the state's top elections official, said 700,000 more Californians were on voter rolls than during the 2004 presidential cycle.

However, that may not translate to long lines at the polls Tuesday. More than half of the state's 15.7 million voters are expected to cast absentee ballots, according to CNN affiliate KABC-TV.

One hundred Georgians lined up in the dark outside a suburban Atlanta polling station, CNN affiliate WSB-TV reported.

Plus, hundreds of voters were in line at Stonewall Tell Elementary School in College Park, Georgia, CNN affiliate WXIA-TV reported.

"Generally, I have about half the wait I had today," voter Lisa Campbell told WXIA.

Emory University professor Alan Abramowitz told WSB that could be a sign of the day to come in Georgia.

"I think it's going to be a huge turnout for a primary, because of the high level of interest in the race," he told the station. "It's competitive and I think African-American voters are very motivated to turn out."

In Binghamton, New York, local elections officials were expecting a bigger-than-normal turnout of 25 percent to 35 percent, CNN affiliate WICZ-TV reported.

Supporters of Barack Obama said they saw signs of a good turnout based on the number of volunteers his campaign has drawn, according to CNN affiliate WKBW-TV in Buffalo, New York.


Super Tuesday
Live from the CNN Election Center, the best political team covers every race 40 hours nonstop.
Live now

see full schedule
"I remember the first walk we did. There were four of us. ... Now, it is 400 to 500 people volunteering," volunteer Tim Redmond told WKBW.

In Pima County, Arizona, on Monday, elections officials told CNN affiliate KOLD-TV that their office was flooded with calls from people seeking polling information.

And in Houston County, Alabama, Probate Judge Luke Cooley told CNN affiliate WTVY-TV last week that she's expecting a 75-percent voter turnout as her state joins the Super Tuesday lineup for the first time.

Seven states, including Minnesota and Colorado, were holding caucuses Tuesday evening.

Don't Miss
Complete Super Tuesday results
Paper ballots could delay California results
Near Antonito, Colorado, CNN I-Reporter Diane Campbell said Mitt Romney supporters were trying to figure out how to overcome three feet of snow to get to caucus sites.

"We've been on the phone together to see if we can put together a snow mobile patrol to pick people up because the roads in most of the county are (impassable)," she said.

Nasty weather could hold down turnout in other states, too.


Tornadoes were possible across parts of the South, according to the National Weather Service. Strong thunderstorms could keep some voters at home from Oklahoma through Missouri and Illinois.

Voters in the Northeast faced a cold rain on their trip to the polls, and caucus-goers in Idaho and Montana could face heavy, blowing snow, the Weather Service said. E-mail to a friend

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/05/super.turnout/index.html
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« Reply #5 on: February 05, 2008, 01:13:00 pm »


Keys to victory on Super Tuesday

Story Highlights
CNN Political Unit: Clinton has dominated the overall women's vote

Obama wins among black women and African-Americans in general

McCain voters by and large say the war in Iraq is their top issue

"Change" is a key concept in the 2008 race for the White House

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The CNN Political Unit took a look at what dynamics could mean victory -- or defeat -- for the various candidates as they slug it out on Super Tuesday. Here's a scorecard to keep in mind as results roll in.

(CNN) -- ISSUES FOR THE DEMOCRATS:



 
Republican presidential candidates debate in Los Angeles last Wednesday.

 1 of 2  How did the overall female vote play out?

Except in Iowa and South Carolina -- states won by Barack Obama -- Hillary Clinton has dominated the overall women's vote by leading among white and Latino women. But Obama wins among black women, part of his overall command of the votes of African-Americans. If Obama makes inroads among women outside the black community, it could spell trouble for Clinton.

Who did black voters choose?

Obama's win in Iowa in early January showed white Americans would support a black man for president -- and huge numbers of African-Americans, many of whom had supported Clinton in the past, moved to the Obama camp. Look for more of the same in Tuesday's primaries, particularly in the South, where larger percentages of black voters could propel the Obama to victories in such states as Georgia and Alabama.

How did the Latino vote go?

Early in the primary season, the Latino vote has gone heavily for Clinton. She took 64 percent in the Nevada caucuses, according to voter surveys, compared with 26 percent who voted for Obama. In the Florida primary, Clinton's edge among Latino voters was 59 percent to 30 percent. If Clinton maintains that edge on Super Tuesday, it would put Obama in a hole in states that have large Hispanic populations, from California and Arizona to New York and New Jersey.

How did white male voters vote?

Clinton took the white male vote in all the early contests but one -- New Hampshire, where Obama won. Exit polling data has shown fairly consistent support for Clinton among white men -- Obama will need to make strides among this voting bloc to come out on top in the run for the nomination.

Is Obama still dominant among young voters?

Obama has energized young Americans, and they have turned out overwhelmingly for him, while Clinton's voters have been primarily 45 and older. Look to see if these trends continue, and if Obama's campaign draws even more young voters to the ballot box.


Super Tuesday
Live from the CNN Election Center, the best political team covers every race 40 hours nonstop.
Tuesday, beginning 6 a.m. ET

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Health care, Iraq and the economy: Still the same?

Voters in every primary and caucus have named the economy their top issue, followed by health care and the war in Iraq. Generally, the voters who named the economy and health care as their top concerns picked Clinton, while those who were most concerned about the war chose Obama, perhaps a reflection of their concern about Clinton's initial vote in favor of giving President Bush the power to go to war.

Which candidate's key quality was more important?

The buzzword is change. Exit poll data in all the previous races said the top quality they looked for in a candidate was his or her ability to bring change. And Barack Obama voters dominated that area. Clinton supporters typically said experience was the quality they looked for in a candidate. With all the candidates -- Democrats and Republicans alike -- claiming to the be the candidate of change, Obama has staked his campaign on it with the slogan "Change we can believe in."

ISSUES FOR THE REPUBLICANS:

Which way did Latino voters vote?

For Republicans, the Latino vote has split in the only two races with a significant enough demographic to count. Mitt Romney won the Hispanic vote in Nevada, while John McCain took that vote in Florida. Hispanics will likely count again in New York, New Jersey, California and Arizona -- McCain's home state. But in the past, the Latino vote has largely gone Democratic, and whether they will play a role in the GOP decision in those states remains to be seen.

How did conservatives vote?

McCain has come under attack from both Romney and Mike Huckabee on his conservative credentials -- both saying the former Vietnam War POW is almost a liberal, and many conservative radio talk show hosts have joined the fray. Conservative voters have tended to vote for either Romney or Huckabee in the early contests. If the vote stays that way, it may be a long road to Minneapolis-St. Paul in September.

Evangelical voters -- did Huckabee dominate?

Mike Huckabee has largely dominated the evangelical vote, but Mitt Romney also has also made a strong showing. McCain generally tops those who say they are not evangelicals. But in two states -- New Hampshire and Florida -- McCain ran at least as well as his two main rivals for those votes. Evangelical voters could have a strong influence in several Super Tuesday states, including Georgia, Alabama and Huckabee's home state, Arkansas.

For those concerned about the economy as the top issue, how did they vote? Immigration?

McCain voters by and large say the war in Iraq is their top issue, although in South Carolina and Florida he tread into Romney territory, coming out on top with voters who said the economy was their main issue. If that trend continues and economy voters move toward McCain, Romney -- who touts his business experience on the campaign trail -- could have some serious problems on Tuesday. Voters have consistently named the economy as their most serious concern in exit polling data, while illegal immigration has consistently come in second. Voters most concerned about that issue have so far split between Huckabee and Romney.

Age-wise, who broke for who?

Voters of all ages have been all over the map in early GOP contests, according to the exit polls. Huckabee, who won Iowa, won all the age groups there. McCain won all age groups in New Hampshire -- where he took his first victory -- except for those 65 and older, who went for Romney. In Michigan, where Romney won, the numbers were reversed with McCain taking the 60 plus crowd. In South Carolina, where McCain eked out a close win over Huckabee, his support came primarily from those 45 and older, while voters 44 and younger went for the former Baptist preacher. And in Florida, McCain voters tended to fall into the 18 to 29 or 45 and above range, leaving Romney in the middle with voters 30 to 44 years old.

What was more important: personal qualities or issues?

Romney voters say issues are more important than personal qualities, while McCain voters say it's the other way around, according to polling data from the early contests.

Who got the Republican change vote?

"Change" is a key concept in the 2008 race for the White House. For Republicans, it's a fine line -- change means something different from a Republican administration, admittedly mired in some very low polling numbers. John McCain has been in the man for those unhappy with the Bush administration so far in this election season, despite his support for Bush's latest Iraq strategy. Those happy with the way the president is handling his job have tended to pick Huckabee or Romney. Democrats are already on the record as ready for a big change from the Bush years -- if McCain remains the front-runner after Super Tuesday, it could signal that President Bush will be largely irrelevant in the general election campaign. E-mail to a friend

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/02/05/super.issues/index.html
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« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2008, 01:20:05 pm »

HILLARY ELECTION DAY HEALTH SCARE
Tue Feb 05 2008 12:38:40 ET

Just as Mrs. Clinton touted the importance of good health and universal healthcare for America, a scary coughing fit forced the end of a live TV interview on Super Tuesday.

Clinton was addressing the nation's healthcare needs live on San Francisco's KTVU-TV.

The drama comes 48 hours after taping had to be delayed Sunday on ABC 'THIS WEEK', when a Clinton coughing fit alarmed producers. Concerned Host George Stephanopoulos told the senator to get some "tea and lemon".

"Every New Yorker has a sore throat after last night," Clinton explained to talk-show host David Letterman during her appearance Monday on 'LATE SHOW', trying to deflect any health concerns.

http://drudgereport.com/flashco.htm
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« Reply #7 on: February 05, 2008, 01:22:10 pm »

The board of elections failed to deliver voting equipment to polling places ALL OVER LOS ANGELES... Developing...
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« Reply #8 on: February 05, 2008, 01:38:36 pm »

http://knowbeforeyouvote.com/
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