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Zogby: Obama is only Dem leading all 5 Republicans
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Topic: Zogby: Obama is only Dem leading all 5 Republicans (Read 21 times)
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Derek
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Posts: 2181
Zogby: Obama is only Dem leading all 5 Republicans
«
on:
December 21, 2007, 01:15:02 pm »
Zogby: Obama is only Dem leading all 5 Republicans
Sen. Barack Obama is the only Democratic presidential candidate who polled higher than all five of the top Republican contenders in its latest national telephone survey of potential "general election matchups," Zogby International reports this morning.
Democrat John Edwards polled higher than three of the Republicans. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton edged out two, though all but one of her matchups produced results signalling nearly dead-even races.
Zogby's results, based on a survey of 1,000 "likely" voters that it says produced a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points on each figure:
Obama led:
Rudy Giuliani, 48%-39%.
Mike Huckabee, 47%-42%.
Sen. John McCain, 47%-43%.
Mitt Romney, 53%-35%.
Fred Thompson, 52%-36%.
(So, Obama's leads over Giuliani, Romney and McCain are outside the margin of error -- but not his leads over Huckabee and McCain. Remember, each figure's margin is +/- 3.2 points. So the spread between the results needs to be at least 6.5 points to be outside the margin.)
Edwards:
Led Huckabee, 47%-41%.
Led Romney, 50%-38%.
Led Thompson, 51%-35%.
Trailed Giuliani, 45%-44%.
Trailed McCain, 46%-42%.
(So, Edwards' leads over Romney and Thompson are outside the margin of error -- but not his lead over Huckabee. And he trails Giuliani and McCain by less than the margin of error.)
Clinton:
Led Romney, 46%-44%.
Led Thompson, 48%-42%.
Trailed Giuliani, 46%-42%.
Trailed Huckabee, 48%-43%.
Trailed McCain, 49%-42%.
(So, the only matchup outside the margin of error is McCain's advantage over Clinton. Zogby reports that Clinton "has improved her position slightly. A November Zogby Interactive poll showed her losing by small margins to all five of the top GOP candidates.")
For other posts we've done about polls, click here.
Posted by Mark Memmott at 11:40 AM/ET, December 21, 2007 in Democrats, Polls, Presidential race, 2008, Republicans | Permalink
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Derek
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Posts: 2181
Re: Zogby: Obama is only Dem leading all 5 Republicans
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December 21, 2007, 01:16:40 pm »
December 21, 2007
Obama, Clinton in dead heat, N.H. poll says
A new poll shows the New Hampshire primary race is extremely volatile.
WASHINGTON (CNN) Democrats Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama are locked in a dead heat in New Hampshire, according to a new poll released Friday, setting up whats likely to be an all-out sprint in the final 18 days before the Granite States primary.
Clinton and Obama each draw support from 32 percent of the states likely Democratic voters in the new USA Today/Gallup poll. John Edwards is a distant third with 18 percent, while Bill Richardson comes in fourth with 8 percent.
Meanwhile, the poll shows a tightening race on the Republican side as well, with Mitt Romney's once double-digit lead narrowing to 7 points over a resurgent John McCain, 34 percent to 27 percent.
Rudy Giuliani who last week decided to pull advertising from the expensive Boston-area media market that reaches the southern portion of New Hampshire comes in a distant third at 11 percent, a statistically tie with Mike Huckabee and Ron Paul, who each stand at 9 percent in the survey.
But the poll shows over 40 percent of voters in each party say they may change their minds over the next three weeks, an indication the standings in New Hampshire remain extremely volatile and may be affected by the results in the Iowa caucuses five days earlier.
In further evidence the New Hampshire race is still thoroughly unpredictable less than three weeks out, other polls out of the state this week have shown significantly different margins separating the top candidates in both parties.
In a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll released Wednesday, Clinton held a 12- point lead over Obama, and Romney was 12 points ahead of McCain. And in an American Research Group poll out Thursday, Clinton is 14 points ahead of Obama, while Romney and McCain are tied.
CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney
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