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54% Support Impeachment of Cheney, 46% for Bush

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Nemesis
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« on: July 10, 2007, 02:24:26 am »

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of President George W. Bush commuting the 30-month prison sentence of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby while leaving intact Mr. Libby's conviction for perjury and obstruction of justice in the CIA leak case?
 
7/5/07 Approve Disapprove Undecided
 
All Adults 31% 64% 5%
Voters 26% 69% 5%
 
Democrats (38%) 13% 76% 11%
Republicans (29%) 50% 47% 3%
Independents (33%) 19% 80% 1%
 
Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

 

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose a complete presidential pardon for Mr. Libby?
 
7/5/07 Favor Oppose Undecided
 
All Adults 11% 84% 5%
Voters 9% 84% 7%
 
Democrats (38%) 7% 82% 11%
Republicans (29%) 23% 70% 7%
Independents (33%) 2% 97% 1%
 
Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

 

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against President George W. Bush?
 
7/5/07 Favor Oppose Undecided
 
All Adults 45% 46% 9%
Voters 46% 44% 10%
 
Democrats (38%) 69% 22% 9%
Republicans (29%) 13% 86% 1%
Independents (33%) 50% 30% 20%
 
3/15/06 42% 49% 9%
 
Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

 

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the US House of Representatives beginning impeachment proceedings against Vice President Dick Cheney?
 
7/5/07 Favor Oppose Undecided
 
All Adults 54% 40% 6%
Voters 50% 44% 6%
 
Democrats (38%) 76% 24% -
Republicans (29%) 17% 83% -
Independents (33%) 51% 29% 20%
 
Based on 1,100 completed telephone interviews among a random sample of adults nationwide July 3-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points, 95% of the time. Of the total sample, 933 interviews were completed among registered voters.

 


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June 30, 2007 - Presidential Preferences

Democrats IA NH SC
 
Biden 2% 4% 3%
Clark 1% 1% 1%
Clinton 32% 34% 37%
Dodd 2% 3% 2%
Edwards 29% 11% 22%
Gravel 1% 2% -
Kucinich 1% 3% 2%
Obama 13% 25% 21%
Richardson 5% 6% 1%
Undecided 14% 11% 11%

John Edwards is at 33% among women in Iowa and Hillary Clinton is at 32% among women in Iowa. Among men in Iowa, Clinton leads Edwards 32% to 23%.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.

Republicans IA NH SC
 
Brownback 3% 1% 1%
Gilmore - - 1%
Giuliani 18% 19% 22%
Gingrich 5% 4% 6%
Hagel 1% - -
Huckabee 1% 1% 3%
Hunter 1% 1% 2%
McCain 13% 21% 23%
Pataki - - -
Paul 1% 1% -
Romney 25% 27% 8%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson 14% 10% 19%
T Thompson 3% - -
Undecided 14% 14% 14%

John McCain has lost support among Republican men in Iowa and South Carolina while Fred Thompson has picked up support among Republican men.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.



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June 22, 2007

Bush Job Approval Ratings 
6/21/07 Approve Disapprove Undecided
 
Overall 27% 67% 6%
Economy 29% 64% 7%

Two-thirds of Americans disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Details from the nationwide survey conducted June 18-21 are available at The National Economy.



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June 20, 2007 - Presidential Preferences

Democrats Nevada
 
Biden 2%
Clark 1%
Clinton 40%
Dodd 1%
Edwards 16%
Gravel 1%
Kucinich 2%
Obama 16%
Richardson 6%
Undecided 15%

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 44% to 15% among women in Nevada, with John Edwards at 10%. Clinton leads Edwards 35% to 24% among men in Nevada, with Obama at 17%.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.

Republicans Nevada
 
Brownback 1%
Gilmore 2%
Giuliani 21%
Gingrich 3%
Hagel -
Huckabee 1%
Hunter -
McCain 16%
Pataki -
Paul 1%
Romney 23%
Tancredo 1%
F Thompson 16%
T Thompson 1%
Undecided 15%

Among women in Nevada, Rudy Giuliani leads Mitt Romney 29% to 27%, with 10% for John McCain and 9% for Fred Thompson. Among men in Nevada, McCain and Fred Thompson are tied at 21% each, followed by Romney at 19% and Giuliani at 15%.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.



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June 13, 2007 - National Presidential Preferences

The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters (those saying they will definitely vote in a primary or participate in a caucus in 2008) conducted June 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

Hillary Clinton's support is unchanged from May. Support for Barack Obama has dropped 12 percentage points from March.

National Primary 
Democrats Mar 2007 Apr 2007 May 2007 Jun 2007
 
Biden 1% 2% 3% 3%
Clark 1% 1% 1% 2%
Clinton 34% 36% 39% 39%
Dodd 1% 1% 2% 1%
Edwards 15% 19% 19% 13%
Gravel - - - 1%
Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1%
Obama 31% 24% 22% 19%
Richardson 2% 2% 2% 5%
Undecided 14% 14% 11% 16%

Hillary Clinton continues to lead among women. In May, 47% of women said they would vote for Clinton. Barack Obama leads among independents saying they will definitely vote in a Democratic primary or participate in a Democratic caucus.

National Primary 
Democrats Dem (84%) Ind (16%) Men (44%) Women (56%)
 
Biden 3% 5% 2% 3%
Clark 2% - 4% -
Clinton 42% 23% 31% 46%
Dodd 1% - 1% 1%
Edwards 14% 7% 13% 13%
Gravel 1% - 2% -
Kucinich 1% 1% 1% 1%
Obama 17% 29% 21% 18%
Richardson 3% 14% 8% 3%
Undecided 16% 21% 17% 15%

 

Rudy Giuliani continues to lead among Republicans, but he has lost 10 percentage points in support since March.

National Primary
Republicans Mar 2007 Apr 2007 May 2007 Jun 2007
 
Brownback 1% 1% 1% 1%
Gilmore 1% - 1% 1%
Giuliani 34% 27% 28% 24%
Gingrich 12% 10% 13% 12%
Hagel 1% 1% 1% 1%
Huckabee 1% 1% 1% 1%
Hunter - - 1% 1%
McCain 30% 23% 24% 20%
Pataki 1% - - -
Paul 1% - 1% 1%
Romney 7% 12% 8% 10%
Tancredo 1% 1% 1% 1%
F Thompson ni 9% 6% 15%
T Thompson 1% 1% 1% 1%
Undecided 9% 14% 13% 11%

Rudy Giuliani leads among Republicans and women likely to vote in a Republican primary or participate in a Republican caucus while John McCain leads among independents and men.

National Primary
Republicans Rep (89%) Ind (11%) Men (54%) Women (46%)
 
Brownback 1% - 1% 1%
Gilmore 1% - 1% 1%
Giuliani 25% 19% 17% 33%
Gingrich 12% 9% 16% 7%
Hagel 1% - 1% -
Huckabee 1% - - 2%
Hunter 1% - 1% 1%
McCain 18% 38% 21% 19%
Pataki - - - -
Paul 1% - 2% -
Romney 10% 9% 11% 9%
Tancredo 1% - 1% -
F Thompson 15% 11% 16% 14%
T Thompson 1% - 1% -
Undecided 12% 14% 11% 13%

 


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April 12, 2007 - Likely Primary Voters on Iraq

There are stark differences between likely Democratic and Republican primary voters over Iraq.

The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters (PV) and 600 likely Republican primary voters (PV) conducted April 9-12, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time. Primary preferences for each party are below.


Question:
Do you believe that the United States can win the war in Iraq, or not? 
 
  Can win  No Undecided
 
Democratic PV 17% 70% 13%
Republican PV 75% 20% 5%

85% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 71% of those voting for John Edwards, and 64% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe the United States can win the war in Iraq.

86% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 62% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 68% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe the United States can win the war in Iraq.

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq 
 
  Favor Oppose Undecided
 
Democratic PV 70% 17% 13%
Republican PV 17% 77% 6%

74% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 57% of those voting for John Edwards, and 81% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.

89% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 63% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 62% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose setting a deadline for the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq.

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people? 
 
  Favor Oppose Undecided
 
Democratic PV 53% 31% 16%
Republican PV 16% 77% 7%

62% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for John Edwards, and 54% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.

91% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 64% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 64% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means an increase in violence among the Iraqi people.

 

Question:
Do you favor or oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region?
 
  Favor Oppose Undecided
 
Democratic PV 56% 33% 11%
Republican PV 15% 80% 5%

73% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 50% of those voting for John Edwards, and 48% of those voting for Barack Obama say they favor the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.

93% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 66% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 63% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they oppose the withdrawal of all US troops from Iraq even if it means violence could spread to other countries in the region.

 

Question:
If the United States withdrew all troops from Iraq, do you believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight here, or not?
 
  Travel Not Undecided
 
Democratic PV 23% 70% 7%
Republican PV 61% 34% 5%

67% of likely Democratic primary voters voting for Hillary Clinton, 84% of those voting for John Edwards, and 71% of those voting for Barack Obama say they do not believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from Iraq.

71% of likely Republican primary voters voting for John McCain, 45% of those voting for Rudy Giuliani, and 53% of those voting for Mitt Romney say they believe that the terrorists fighting in Iraq would travel to the United States to fight if the US withdrew all troops from Iraq.

 


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February 7, 2007

How effective was George W. Bush's 2007 State of the Union Address in engaging voters? Our panel of voters found the address to be far less engaging than the 2003, 2004, and 2005 addresses, but slightly more engaging than the 2006 address. Go to State of the Union to see what the 2007 address looks like compared to the 2003, 2004, 2005, and 2006 addresses.

 


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Why doesn't most advertising work? Take a look at 10 Rules for More Effective Advertising.

 


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See your out-of-conscious processing system at work and learn how to improve your marketing and advertising efforts by understanding the power behind the Scintillating Grid.

 


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ARG's Electoral Vote Calculator has been updated to reflect the 2004 results. Assign states to the Republican or Democrat for 2008 and watch it calculate the electoral votes for president at Electoral Vote Calculator.

 


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The margins of error reported for most polls underestimate the actual margins of error for ballot estimates from the same samples. Use the Ballot Lead Calculator to determine if the lead for any survey is statistically significant.

 


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The New Hampshire Poll:

Results from the June 2007 Quarterly New Hampshire Poll are available at The New Hampshire Poll. NH residents rate NH business conditions, their personal finances, John Lynch, and George W. Bush.

http://www.americanresearchgroup.com/
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