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The Obama Timeline

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Author Topic: The Obama Timeline  (Read 14979 times)
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Harconen
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« Reply #135 on: July 29, 2009, 02:54:04 pm »

            Obama’s hard-line stance against Israel may yield results contrary to what he expects. He likely believes he is forcing Israel into accepting his idea of a two-state solution—whether it likes it or not—by drastically reducing the support it has traditionally received from the United States (both financial and military). In Obama’s mind, Iran can then be allowed to continue its nuclear program because it will no longer have a desire to attack a weakened, humiliated, and largely irrelevant Israel. Obama does not realize that he may be making an Israeli strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities more likely, because the problems Israel will face after such an attack may seem mild in comparison to giving up strategic territories and assimilating hundreds of thousands of Palestinians—effectively signing its own national death warrant. (Obama is also indirectly encouraging a secret strike. While Israel may have been willing to give advance warning of an attack on Iran to a Bush or McCain administration, it does not trust Obama to keep such a plan secret.) Obama sees himself as giving Israel a choice between accepting his two-state solution or going it alone against Iran and losing U.S. support. (Obama knows that his two-state solution will ultimately destroy Israel.) But Israel sees itself losing U.S. support either way, which therefore makes the option of striking Iran less risky. In Obama’s eagerness to please his Muslim friends by assaulting time-honored U.S.-Israeli relations, he is inadvertently helping Israel realize that the cost of attacking Iran may be less than not attacking. His stunning naïveté may precipitate a war.

 
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